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Old 09-08-2018, 03:29 PM
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htlin htlin is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Taipei, Taiwan
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Default Re: Am I understanding the analogy correctly?

The hypothesis introduces the "color" of the marbles. This, together with the sampling (from the bin), defines the whole probability. Something like

P(color) = P(color | marble) * P(marble)

The first term on the RHS is defined by the hypothesis. The second term is defined by sampling.

Hope this helps.
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